9:00-9:50, David Freedman, University of California, Berkeley
"The Swine Flu Vaccine and Guillain-Barre Syndrome: A Case Study in Relative Risk and Specific Causation," with P.B. Stark | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

9:50-10:20, Bechtel Terrace break

10:20-11:10, Guido Imbens, University of California, Los Angeles
"Assessing the Effect of an Influenza Vaccine in an Encouragement Design," with Keisuke Hirano, Donald Rubin, and Xiao-Hua Zhou | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

11:20-12:10, Jinyong Hahn, University of Michigan
"When to Control for Covariates? Panel-Asymptotic Results for Estimates of Treatment Effects," with Joshua Angrist | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

12:10-1:30, Lunch

1:30-2:20, Jeffrey Kling, Princeton University
"Moving to Opportunity in Boston: Early Impacts of a Housing Mobility Program," with Lawrence F. Katz and Jeffrey B. Liebman | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

2:30-3:20, John van Reenen, Institute for Fiscal Studies, United Kingdom
"Getting the Unemployed Back to Work: Evaluating the Impact of a Temporary Wage Subsidy and Training Programme," with Brian Bell, Richard Blundell, and Monica Diaz | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

3:20-3:50, Bechtel Terrace break

3:50-4:40, Bronwyn Hall, University of California, Berkeley
"Mergers and R&D Revisited" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF] | Slides [PDF]

9:00-9:50, Joel Horowitz, University of Iowa
"Nonparametric Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Missing Covariate and Outcome Data," with C.F. Manski | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

9:50-10:20, Bechtel Terrace break

10:20-11:10, Rajeev Dehejia, Columbia University
"Evaluation in Multi-Site Programs" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

11:20-12:10, Alberto Abadie, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
"Semiparametric Estimation of Instrumental Variable Models for Causal Effects" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

12:10-1:30, Lunch

1:30-2:20, Orley Ashenfelter, Princeton University and Michael Greenstone, University of California, Berkeley
"Using Mandated Speed Limits to Measure the Value of a Statistical Life" | Abstract [ascii]

2:30-3:20, Victor Lavy, Hebrew University
"Evaluating the Effect of Teachers' Performance Incentives on Pupils' Achievements" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF], tables [PDF], and figures/data [Excel]

3:20-3:50, Bechtel Terrace break

3:50-4:40, Darren Lubotsky, University of California, Berkeley
"The Labor Market Effects of Welfare Reform" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

9:00-9:50, Hal Varian, University of California, Berkeley "Estimating the Demand for Bandwidth," with P. Varaiya, R. Edell, K. Chu, and W. Beckert | Abstract [ascii] | Slides [PDF]

9:50-10:20, Bechtel Terrace break

10:20-11:10, Gary Chamberlain, Harvard University
"Econometric Applications of Maxmin Expected Utility" | Abstract [PS] [PDF] | Paper [PDF] or Postscript

11:20-12:10, Alan Krueger, Princeton University
"A Reanalysis of the Effect of the New Jersey Minimum Wage Increase on the Fast-Food Industry with Representative Payroll Data," with David Card | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

12:10-1:30, Hosted luncheon served on the Terrace above the Bechtel Center

9:00-10:15, Joshua Angrist, Massachussetts Institute of Technology
"New Evidence on Classroom Computers and Pupil Learning," with Victor Lavy | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

10:15-10:45, Bechtel Terrace break

10:45-12:00, Donald Rubin (with discussion), Harvard University
"I will try to be a generalist after listening to everyone else..."

12:00-1:30, Lunch

1:30-2:20, Douglas Staiger, Dartmouth College
"Estimating Treatment Effects with Observational Data: A New Approach to Using Hospital-level Variation in Treatment Intensity," with Mark McClellan | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF] | Tables [Excel]

2:30-3:20, Kenneth Chay, University of California, Berkeley and Michael Greenstone, University of California, Berkeley
"The Impact of Air Pollution on Infant Mortality: Evidence from Geographic Variation in Pollution Shocks Induced by a Recession" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PDF]

3:20-3:50, Bechtel Terrace break

3:50-4:40, Jamie Robins, Harvard University
"Marginal Structural Models versus Structural Nested Models as Tools for Causal Inference" | Abstract [ascii] | Paper [PS] [PDF]

9:00-9:50, Keisuke Hirano, University of California, Los Angeles
"Estimating Dose-Response Curves using the Generalized Propensity Score: An Application to Data on Lottery Winners," with Paul Gift and Guido Imbens

9:50-10:20, Northgate Courtyard break

10:20-11:10, Joseph Hotz, University of California, Los Angeles
"The Role of Population and Program Heterogeneity in the Prediction of the Effect of Future Training Programs," with Julie Mortimer and Guido Imbens
This paper is not yet ready for distribution, but a background paper [PDF] with some earlier results, "Predicting the Efficacy of Future Training Programs using Past Experiences" is available.

11:10-12:10, Jennifer Hill, Harvard University
"NY School Choice: An Example of the Relationship between Observational Studies and Randomized Experiments," with John Barnard and Donald Rubin | Abstract [ascii]